Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000147 0.000163 0.000180 0.000200 0.000222 0.000245 0.000273
2025-03-23 0.000117 0.000140 0.000166 0.000199 0.000240 0.000288 0.000351
2025-03-30 0.000102 0.000128 0.000161 0.000205 0.000264 0.000338 0.000443
2025-04-06 0.000087 0.000115 0.000150 0.000201 0.000271 0.000367 0.000509
2025-04-13 0.000074 0.000101 0.000137 0.000191 0.000269 0.000380 0.000555
2025-04-20 0.000067 0.000095 0.000133 0.000191 0.000280 0.000414 0.000634
2025-04-27 0.000063 0.000091 0.000131 0.000195 0.000297 0.000456 0.000733
2025-05-04 0.000057 0.000085 0.000126 0.000194 0.000305 0.000486 0.000813
2025-05-11 0.000054 0.000081 0.000124 0.000196 0.000318 0.000523 0.000913
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000077 0.000120 0.000194 0.000325 0.000552 0.001001
2025-05-25 0.000046 0.000073 0.000116 0.000193 0.000332 0.000583 0.001096
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000069 0.000112 0.000191 0.000336 0.000607 0.001183
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000064 0.000105 0.000182 0.000330 0.000613 0.001235
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000061 0.000103 0.000183 0.000341 0.000654 0.001372
2025-06-22 0.000035 0.000060 0.000104 0.000189 0.000363 0.000721 0.001578
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.000057 0.000099 0.000185 0.000364 0.000743 0.001687
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000052 0.000093 0.000176 0.000353 0.000739 0.001730
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000050 0.000091 0.000177 0.000363 0.000783 0.001901
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000049 0.000091 0.000180 0.000381 0.000846 0.002136
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000047 0.000089 0.000179 0.000387 0.000884 0.002310
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.000046 0.000088 0.000181 0.000399 0.000937 0.002542
2025-08-10 0.000023 0.000044 0.000085 0.000179 0.000405 0.000976 0.002735
2025-08-17 0.000022 0.000043 0.000084 0.000178 0.000412 0.001017 0.002950